class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # ECON 366: Energy Economics ] .subtitle[ ## Topic 2.2: The Global Energy Economy ] .author[ ### Andrew Leach, Professor of Economics and Law ] .date[ ###
aleach@ualberta.ca
leachandrew
@andrew_leach
] --- <style> hr.space-1 { background: transparent; color: transparent; margin: 0; height: 1rem; } </style> <style type="text/css"> blockquote { border-left: .2px solid #275d38; margin: -5px 80px -5px 20px; padding-top: -0.5px; padding-bottom: -0.5px; line-height: 1.35em; } .question { background: #f9f9f9; margin: -5px 80px -5px 20px; padding-top: 0.5px; padding-bottom: 0.5px; padding-left: 15px; line-height: 1.35em; } .cite { margin: -20px 80px -25px 80px; padding-top: -0.5px; padding-bottom: -0.5px; line-height: 1.25em; font-size: 20px; } .cite_fn1 { margin: -20px 80px -25px 50px; padding-top: -0.5px; padding-bottom: -0.5px; line-height: 1.25em; font-size: 20px; } .cite_fn2 { margin: -20px 80px -25px 50px; padding-top: -0.5px; padding-bottom: -0.5px; line-height: 1.25em; font-size: 20px; } .space blockquote { margin: -25px 50px -25px 50px; padding-top: -0.5px; padding-bottom: -0.5px; } .space blockquote p { line-height: 1em; } .site_link{ font-size: 16px; } </style> # Energy Scenarios <hr.space-1> <center> <iframe width="800" height="500" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/nwub4Bhr-aM" title="Shell Energy Scenarios" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe> </center> .site_link[See [Shell Scenarios](https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/the-energy-future/scenarios/what-are-scenarios.html) and added documentation] --- # Energy Scenarios <hr.space-1> <center> <iframe width="800" height="500" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/jQ2uIPeiEYQ" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe></center> .site_link[See [Shell Scenarios](https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/the-energy-future/scenarios/what-are-scenarios.html) and added documentation] --- # Suncor Scenarios <hr.space-1> <img src="rivalry.png" width="870px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> <hr.space-1> .site_link[See [Suncor Climate Report 2022](https://sustainability-prd-cdn.suncor.com/-/media/project/ros/shared/documents/climate-reports/2022-climate-report-en.pdf?modified=20221124191332&_ga=2.149371766.1972955240.1673409017-343812953.1673409016)] --- # Suncor Scenarios <hr.space-1> <img src="autonomy.png" width="870px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .site_link[See [Suncor Climate Report 2022](https://sustainability-prd-cdn.suncor.com/-/media/project/ros/shared/documents/climate-reports/2022-climate-report-en.pdf?modified=20221124191332&_ga=2.149371766.1972955240.1673409017-343812953.1673409016)] --- # Suncor Scenarios <hr.space-1> <img src="discord.png" width="870px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .site_link[See [Suncor Climate Report 2022](https://sustainability-prd-cdn.suncor.com/-/media/project/ros/shared/documents/climate-reports/2022-climate-report-en.pdf?modified=20221124191332&_ga=2.149371766.1972955240.1673409017-343812953.1673409016)] --- # Suncor Scenarios <hr.space-1> <img src="suncor2c.png" width="840px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # Suncor Scenarios (PDF excerpt for reference) <hr.space-1> <embed src="suncor_2022_scenarios.pdf" width="1100px" height="540px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" type="application/pdf" /> .site_link[See [Suncor Climate Report 2022](https://sustainability-prd-cdn.suncor.com/-/media/project/ros/shared/documents/climate-reports/2022-climate-report-en.pdf?modified=20221124191332&_ga=2.149371766.1972955240.1673409017-343812953.1673409016)] --- # IEA Scenarios <hr.space-1><hr.space-1> <img src="iea_scenarios.png" width="820px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .site_link[See [IEA Climate and Energy Modeling 2023](https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ff3a195d-762d-4284-8bb5-bd062d260cc5/GlobalEnergyandClimateModelDocumentation2023.pdf)] --- # IEA World Energy Outlook <hr.space-1> Uses STEPS, APS, and NZE scenarios. Read the Executive Summary and glance at Chapter 1. <hr.space-1> <embed src="weo_2023_excpt.pdf" width="1100px" height="520px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" type="application/pdf" /> --- # IEA WEO: Net Zero <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_emissions_temps.png" width="1000px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Net Zero TPES <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_tpes.png" width="870px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Net Zero Power Generation <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_power.png" width="900px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Net Zero Generating Capacity <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_capacity.png" width="850px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Oil Prices and Quantities <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_oil.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Oil Consumption <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_oil_demand.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Gaseous Fuel Use <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_gas.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Gaseous Fuel Use <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_gas_region.png" width="900px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: The Business Case for LNG <hr.space-1> <img src="lng.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Oil and Gas Investment <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_investment.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # IEA WEO: Coal's Future (?) <hr.space-1> <img src="weo23_coal.png" width="920px" style="display: block; margin: auto;" />